Trade Wars, Tariffs & Trouble: What SaaS Founders Must Know Right Now

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While most headlines about trade wars focus on manufacturing, SaaS companies face serious — and often overlooked — risks in today’s global economy. Rising tariffs, macroeconomic uncertainty, and the threat of stagflation can have devastating effects on your margins, growth, and survival.

1. The Hidden Impact on SaaS

When customers are unsure about the economy, they stop buying — not because your product isn’t great, but because they’re scared to make commitments. Sales pipelines stall. Large deals get delayed. This is especially dangerous for SaaS founders relying on predictable revenue.

2. Inflation: A Squeeze From All Sides

Rising costs of cloud infrastructure, wages, and vendor pricing drive up your expenses. Employees feel the squeeze too — and they’ll ask for raises. If your contracts don’t allow for price adjustments, your margins will suffer fast.

3. The Worst-Case Scenario: Stagflation

Stagflation — when inflation and recession happen simultaneously — is the nightmare scenario. Demand drops while costs climb. You can’t cut your way to profit, and you can’t grow your way out either. Preparing for this is critical.

4. What SaaS Founders Should Do Now

  • Review contracts: Make sure you can raise prices when needed.
  • Cut dead weight: Get rid of underperformers and inefficient processes.
  • Build cash reserves: Cash is your ultimate buffer.
  • Rebalance GTM strategy: Double down on profitable customer segments and efficient lead sources.

5. Prepare for What Might Come Next

Hope for stability, but prepare for recession or inflation spikes. Build contingency plans. Know what you’d cut if needed. Know how you’d raise prices, and make sure the tools and contracts are in place to do it.

Final Thoughts

SaaS founders can’t afford to ignore macroeconomics. Global trade policies, tariffs, and shifting financial conditions are no longer someone else’s problem. They are your problem — and how you prepare now will decide whether your business thrives or barely survives.

Additional Resources

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Victor Cheng

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